Secondary effects can include the shortage of water and electricity. Moderate - No major destruction to buildings, can uproot trees and signs. Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale Category 1ĭamage: Minimal - No significant structural damage, can uproot trees and cause some flooding in coastal areas. It is important to note that whilst the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale defines wind strengths and their likely impacts, severe impacts from tropical cyclones can also occur due to storm surge and heavy rain which are not necessarily directly related to the strength of the wind in the tropical cyclone. Tropical cyclones with wind speeds up to 38 mph are classified as tropical depressions and those with wind speeds from 39 - 73 mph are classified as tropical storms. The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale consists of a five point scale of hurricane intensity and starts at 74 mph. Its forecast calls for 14 named storms, seven of which could become hurricanes and three of those being major hurricanes.Although developed in the USA, tropical cyclones around the world are measured by the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale which originated from 1971 with Herbert Saffir, a civil engineer and Bob Simpson of the US National Hurricane Center. Meanwhile, the University of Arizona is predicting a normal hurricane season. The highest prediction comes from North Carolina State University, which believes 17 to 21 named storms will form, seven to nine of which being hurricanes and three to five of those being major storms. In the end, many agencies are predicting above-normal hurricane activity this season. You know that a wobble will move the path and Mother Nature ultimately decides where it's going to go." "You cannot say 100% that these storms are going to stick with a path," Bowlin said. So even if a resident has a range of paths, those are only predictions and not guaranteed. 'We've been blessed': Tropical Storm Elsa could have been worse for Ocala/Marion, west coastīowlin added that spaghetti models, or hurricane paths generated by computers operated by dozens of companies, usually give a wide range of potential tracks. "We have 31,748 mobile homes in Marion County," Bowlin noted, adding that what complicates things is that many snowbirds occupy them part of the year and it is not always easy to know if they are in town or not. Klotzbach and his team are among the nation's top seasonal hurricane forecasters, and they believe 2022 will be the seventh consecutive above-normal season. Meteorologist and researcher Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University, and his team, believe there will be 19 named storms in 2022, up from the season average of 14. The hurricane season runs June 1 through Nov. Experts predict 2022 will be the 7th-consecutive above-average year Two of the most active hurricane seasons on record were in 20, and top hurricane experts believe everyone should expect another above-normal season this year. The comments came during an interview to discuss the 2022 hurricane season. Sandrik said as bad as Irma was In Marion County, "it could have been so much worse." ![]() "If Irma had followed the official track, and thank God it did not, we would have been looking at major hurricane force winds in Rainbow Lakes Estates and Dunnellon, and probably even as far east as the western part of Ocala," Sandrik said. Torrid growth in Marion County: Two upcoming communities tweak plans another breaks groundĪl Sandrik, the warning coordination meteorologist for the National Weather Service in Jacksonville, and staff led the charge back then to evacuate people living in mobile homes in southwest Marion, from Dunnellon to southwest Ocala. Looking back: A year after Hurricane Irma The overall damage estimate for all jurisdictions in Marion reached about $200 million.īut one of the state's most veteran meteorologists says that, had Irma stuck to its original projected path, coming ashore north of Tampa and heading northeast toward Jacksonville, then southwestern Marion County would have been devastated.Ģ022 hurricane season: Will it be a stormy summer? Here's the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season forecast. The storm flooded 70 roads and caused 56 sinkholes. In Marion alone, Irma's wind gusts topped 100 mph and caused significant damage to more than 1,000 homes. Irma packed a punch as it turned north up the spine of the Sunshine State and through Marion County. It has been nearly five years since Hurricane Irma struck Cudjoe Key in Southwest Florida, packing 130 mph winds. Watch Video: Hurricane forecast: What to expect for 2022 Atlantic hurricane season
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